Omari Gates
With the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaching, the world is watching, including Australia, where a growing preference for Trump has been observed. Trump signs and campaign materials are popping up across the country, and opinion polls indicate that a notable proportion of Australians would vote for Trump if given the chance. Despite this, Trump's brand of conservative populism is viewed mostly negatively by Australians, and recent polls show that Australians are broadly in favour of a Harris presidency.
| Characteristics | Values |
|---|---|
| Australians' support for Trump | 29% would vote for Trump, 36% consider him favourable, 22% prefer him over Harris |
| Australians' support for Harris over Trump | 37% would vote for Harris, 48% have a favourable opinion of Harris, 73% prefer Harris over Trump |
| Trump signs in Australia | Signs popping up on lawns and in windows across the country |
| Australians' interest in the 2024 U.S. election | Growing curiosity and investment |
| Trump's popularity in Australia | A notable chunk of Australians support Trump, but Harris is more popular |
| Australians' views on Aukus | 44% believe it won't affect Australia's security, 19% believe it will make Australia less secure |
| Australians' views on unions | 63% believe unions are good for the economy, 52% think workers would be better off with stronger unions |
| Australians' views on government and corporations | 39% concerned about corruption in government, 32% in corporations |
| Australians' views on the economy | 48% believe the economy puts the interests of business ahead of workers |
| Australians' views on big business and government | 66% believe big business has too much power, 56% concerned about government power |
| Australians' views on Trump's performance | 50% disapprove, including 34% who strongly disapprove |
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What You'll Learn
Trump's Australia: Why are more Australians supporting Trump?
With the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaching, the world is watching the unfolding drama, and many Australians are asking: will Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? While interest in the election is high, reports show a growing preference for Trump among Australians, with a notable chunk saying they would vote for him if given the chance. This has led to the intriguing phenomenon of "Trump's Australia".
Trump signs and other merchandise are popping up across the country, and polling data shows a substantial segment of Australians support the former president. The latest opinion polls indicate that attitudes toward Trump have shifted in Australia since 2016 and 2020. A recent Guardian Essential poll shows that nearly one-third (29%) of polled Australians would vote for Trump, a 15% increase from November 2020. ABC Australia reported similar findings, with around 27% of polled Australians saying they would vote for Trump.
However, it's important to note that support for Trump in Australia is not unanimous. The same polls show that more Australians would vote for Harris and that she has a higher favourability rating. Despite the growing number of Trump supporters, there are also many Australians who are giving Harris a "thumbs up".
So, what might be driving this trend of increasing support for Trump in Australia? One factor could be Trump's fiery rhetoric and the rise of far-right sentiments in the country. Additionally, the unique circumstances of the 2024 election, such as the cross-party endorsements and the convicted felon running as a major party nominee, may be contributing to the growing curiosity and interest in Trump among Australians.
While the reasons behind the shift in attitudes are complex, the impact of a Trump victory on Australia's relationship with the U.S. and the world is worth considering. Trump's policies and impulses often run counter to Australia's instincts and interests. His isolationist tendencies, sympathy for autocrats and strongmen, and scepticism of alliances could create turbulence in trade, China relations, and the AUKUS agreement.
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Trump's popularity in Australia
As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, Australians are paying close attention to the political landscape. Trump signs and campaign materials are becoming increasingly visible across the country, and opinion polls indicate that a notable proportion of Australians support Trump.
Recent polls suggest that Australians' support for Trump has increased since 2020, with around one-third of polled Australians saying they would vote for him if they could. This shift in attitude is intriguing, given that Trump's brand of conservative populism doesn't seem easily replaceable in Australia, and he is viewed mostly negatively. However, it's important to note that these polls also show that Vice President Kamala Harris is more popular among Australians, with higher favourability ratings and a stronger preference for her as the next U.S. president.
The rise in Trump's popularity in Australia may be attributed to various factors. Some speculate that it could be a result of his fiery rhetoric resonating with Australians, or it might indicate a broader rise in far-right sentiments within the country. Additionally, Trump's recent survival of an assassination attempt may have contributed to this surge in support.
While Trump's popularity in Australia is notable, it's important to remember that Australians' instincts in foreign policy often run counter to Trump's impulses. Trump's isolationist tendencies and admiration for autocrats and strongmen clash with Australia's democratic values and belief in international alliances.
As the election draws nearer, Australia's attention remains focused on the unfolding political drama in the United States, with many wondering what a Trump victory or a Harris presidency could mean for their country.
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Trump's Australia: What could a Trump victory mean?
As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, the world is watching with bated breath. Among those tuning in are Australians, who seem to be increasingly curious about the unfolding political drama. This election cycle is particularly intriguing due to its unique twists, including a president seeking a second non-consecutive term and unusual cross-party endorsements. But what does this growing interest among Australians signify? And what could a potential Trump victory mean for the country?
Recent opinion polls in Australia reveal a notable shift in attitudes towards Donald Trump since 2016 and 2020. While a significant portion of Australians (around 27-29%) would vote for Trump if given the chance, an even larger proportion (37-48%) favour his opponent, Kamala Harris. This indicates that while Trump has gained some support in Australia, Harris remains the preferred candidate for the majority of Australians.
The rise in Trump's popularity in Australia could be attributed to various factors, including his fiery rhetoric and the rise of far-right sentiments in the country. However, it's important to note that Trump's brand of conservative populism may not easily translate to Australia, as he is still viewed negatively by many. Additionally, Trump's potential victory could have implications for Australia's relations with the U.S. and China, particularly regarding trade and security alliances.
During his first term, Trump treated allies as freeloaders and questioned the principle of collective defence. He also expressed hostility towards free trade and proposed tariffs on Chinese imports, which could have significant repercussions for Australia's economy. A second Trump administration may bring similar challenges, and Australia might need to navigate its relationships with the U.S. and China carefully.
In conclusion, while a segment of Australians supports Trump, a Trump victory in the 2024 election could have complex implications for the country. Australia may need to engage with a Trump administration pragmatically while also reinforcing its commitment to the liberal international order that Trump has been known to challenge.
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Trump's unpopularity in Australia
While there is a notable segment of Australians who support Donald Trump, there is also a significant amount of evidence to suggest that Trump is unpopular in Australia.
A Guardian Essential poll from July 2024 found that 36% of polled Australians considered Trump "favourable". This represented a 15-point surge in support since November 2020. However, this same poll also showed that 48% of Australians had a favourable opinion of Kamala Harris, Trump's opponent in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, and that 73% of Australians would prefer Harris to become president.
Another poll by ABC Australia found that 27% of Australians would vote for Trump, while 48% would back Harris.
Trump's hostile stance towards free trade and his imposition of tariffs on imports, including a promised 60% tariff on Chinese imports, are particularly concerning for Australia as a trading nation. The Trump administration's pressure on Australia to increase defence spending and choose between its trading relationship with China and its security alliance with the U.S. has also caused discomfort in bilateral relations.
Overall, while there may be a visible presence of Trump supporters in Australia, the majority of evidence suggests that Trump's brand of conservative populism is largely unpopular among Australians, with a preference for his opponent, Kamala Harris, in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
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How Australia should deal with Trump
While there is a notable interest in Trump among Australians, with some even supporting him, it is important for Australia to deal with Trump pragmatically if he were to return to the White House. Australia should focus on building up its national capabilities and working with like-minded nations to reinforce the liberal international order that Trump challenges.
Firstly, Australia should acknowledge the differences in political ideologies and foreign policy approaches between Trump and Australians. Trump's inclination towards isolationism and sympathy for autocrats and strongmen contrast with Australia's democratic values and belief in international alliances. Trump's "America First" agenda and his criticism of allies as "freeloaders" during his first term indicate a potential disregard for collective defence and the value of alliances. This could impact Australia's security relationship with the United States.
Secondly, Australia should be cautious in its dealings with Trump, especially regarding trade and China. Trump's hostility towards free trade and his imposition of tariffs on Chinese imports could negatively affect Australia's economy as a trading nation. Additionally, Trump's unpredictable approach to China, ranging from combativeness to potential concessions, creates uncertainty for Australia, which has a delicate balance between its trading relationship with China and its security alliance with the United States.
Thirdly, Australia should focus on strengthening its own position and working with like-minded allies. This means building up national capabilities and engaging with other democracies to reinforce the liberal international order. Australia's interests are served when the United States is well-governed and strong, so Australia should aim to foster stability and cohesion in its relationship with the United States, regardless of Trump's presence.
Lastly, Australia should learn from the experiences of other world leaders who have dealt with Trump. For example, former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe skilfully navigated his relationship with Trump by being courteous and attentive without sacrificing his dignity or adopting Trump's political identity. Australia can adopt a similar approach, engaging with Trump pragmatically while maintaining its own values and strategic interests.
In conclusion, while Trump may have a level of support in Australia, it is crucial for Australia to deal with him in a pragmatic and cautious manner. By strengthening its position, fostering key alliances, and learning from past experiences, Australia can effectively navigate its relationship with a potential Trump administration.
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Frequently asked questions
Trump signs are popping up across Australia, and opinion polls indicate that a notable chunk of Australians would vote for Trump if given the chance. However, Trump's brand of conservative populism isn't easily replaceable in Australia, and he is viewed mostly negatively.
Trump is hostile to free trade and has proposed tariffs on Chinese imports, which could be extremely damaging to Australia as a trading nation. Trump also forced Australia's NATO partners to increase their defence spending, which has made Australia's relationship with the US uncomfortable.
There is a substantial segment of Australians who support Trump, as there is a rise of far-right sentiments in Australia.
Trump is less popular than Kamala Harris in Australia. Harris has a 48% favourability rating, while Trump has a 36% favourability rating.
